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The Israel-Hezbollah Ceasefire: Aftermath or Interlude?

'WorldWatch' by David C. Grabbe

Southern Lebanon is shrouded in the fog of war, with the Israel-Hezbollah conflict and its fragile ceasefire remaining unclear. Hezbollah's provocation of Israel, involving the killing of eight Israeli soldiers, the kidnapping of two others, and rocket attacks on northern Israel, was strategically timed with Iran's nuclear program under international scrutiny. As Iran's creation and primary patron, Hezbollah acted to distract from Iran's issues and assert regional power, having stockpiled weapons and supplies in fortified positions over several years. Hezbollah's goals were to inflict maximum casualties on Israel, whether military or civilian, and to survive the inevitable Israeli counteroffensive. Surviving was the priority, and despite heavy losses and no territorial gains, Hezbollah claimed victory for withstanding Israel's response without being completely destroyed. Hezbollah's strategy benefited from prolonged conflict, enhancing its reputation the longer it avoided a decisive Israeli victory, while hiding weapons and fighters in civilian homes to exploit casualties for propaganda. The ceasefire was deemed advantageous for Hezbollah, allowing it to quit while still operational, having survived Israeli air strikes and retained the ability to fire rockets on northern Israel. Its forces in fortified bunkers in southern Lebanon resisted IDF troops, causing casualties, and Hezbollah claimed a unique success among Arab forces. Though militarily weakened and having lost popular support due to the destruction in Lebanon, Hezbollah remains a useful tool for Iran, ready to be deployed again when the time is right. Under the ceasefire agreement of U.N. Resolution 1701, Hezbollah refuses to disarm, insisting it must protect southern Lebanon from Israeli aggression, creating a deadlock as Israel will not withdraw until peacekeepers are in place. With neither side having a strong incentive to resume fighting, and despite the unlikelihood of the resolution's implementation by the set deadline, Hezbollah's position remains tactically significant in the ongoing regional tension.

Israel at a Crossroads

'Prophecy Watch' by Richard T. Ritenbaugh

The State of Israel has come to a point in its history when it must take a hard look at where it wants to go in the next few years.

An Israel-Turkey Reconciliation?

'WorldWatch' by Richard T. Ritenbaugh

Despite the on-again, off-again nature of their ties, Israel and Turkey have common interests, and both could use a friend in the region.

Israel's New Crisis

'WorldWatch' by David C. Grabbe

The 'Arab Spring' has turned some of Israel's recent allies and non-belligerant neighbors in the region into surrounding enemies.

Israel's Long War

'WorldWatch' by Richard T. Ritenbaugh

While the 2023 Israel-Hamas War shocked the world, it may not signal the end. These two peoples have been fighting for millennia. Other signs must be present.

The Fractured Middle East

'WorldWatch' by David C. Grabbe

Westerners tend to put all Muslims in a box as a unified front. The reality, though, is that Islam is as fractured and sectarian as any other religion.

The Burning Middle East: Revolution or Power-Grab?

'WorldWatch' by David C. Grabbe

While the geopolitics of North Africa and the Middle East have not substantially changed, Iran may benefit the most from the ongoing turmoil.

What's in It for Us?

CGG Weekly by Richard T. Ritenbaugh

If a person has a firm grasp on the principle of self-interest and what a nation considers to be good for it, he can forecast what a nation will do.

The Wars of Israel and Judah

CGG Weekly by David C. Grabbe

Where God's people are concerned, military might is far less of a factor in the outcome of a war than morality. Do we still have God's favor?

The Neighbor to the South

'WorldWatch' by David C. Grabbe

In Mexico, the drug cartels' increasing power, corruption, and proclivity for violence may be driving the nation toward becoming a 'failed state.'

All About Edom (Part Four): Obadiah and Edom's Sin

'Prophecy Watch' by Richard T. Ritenbaugh

Because of the long conflict between Israel and Edom, one might think that Obadiah would gladly predict the Edomites' downfall, yet he laments Edom's horrible end.

The Handwriting Is on the Wall (2002)

Feast of Tabernacles Sermon by John W. Ritenbaugh

The prophecy of Deuteronomy 28:42-49 concerns the curse of the stranger rising higher and higher above us, displacing our Israelitish culture with foreign one.

A World Upside-Down

CGG Weekly by Richard T. Ritenbaugh

Hezbollah has been successful in its public-relations coup because it set Israel up under a set of parameters for victory that no nation could accomplish.

Until Shiloh Comes

Sermon by Richard T. Ritenbaugh

The prophecies about Judah show that, at the end time, Judah would have victory after victory 'until Shiloh comes,' referring to the return of Jesus Christ.

Strategies for Interfacing with Babylon Without Becoming Assimilated (Part One)

Sermon by David F. Maas

In a culture which glorifies war heroes and winning at all costs, becoming an ambassador to peace is perhaps the most elusive goal we could ever accomplish.