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A Strengthening Germany
'WorldWatch' by Richard T. RitenbaughIn September's general elections in Germany, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), led by Chancellor Angela Merkel, retained power, forming a conservative coalition with the Free Democratic Party (FDP) led by Guido Westerwelle. The CDU will lead, especially in foreign policy, despite amicable German-American relations over recent decades. However, challenges loom as Westerwelle, the incoming Foreign Minister, may pursue a pro-American stance, aligning with U.S. aims on issues like the Afghan War, human rights pressures on Russia and China, nuclear warhead removal from Germany, and engagement on Iran and Israel-Palestine. Yet, Germany's self-interests are likely to override any desire to remain a junior partner to America. Having shed Cold War constraints, Germany is asserting its significant influence in Europe and globally, signaling its presence on the world stage. In the energy sector, Berlin is taking unilateral steps, heavily reliant on Russian oil and natural gas, and seeking to avoid manipulation by Moscow, which has threatened pipeline shutdowns in past winters. The new government plans to extend the life of aging nuclear reactors and build new ones to lessen dependence on Russian energy, while also investing in Russian ventures and constructing oil and gas lines through Germany or the nearby Baltic Sea to serve as a conduit to other European nations, earning transit fees. Within Europe, Germany stands as the dominant state in geography, population, and economic strength, with only France as a distant rival, using its influence to advance objectives in the European Union. Alongside France, Germany drives the retry of ratifying the Lisbon Treaty and the selection of an EU president and foreign minister, positioning Berlin's agenda, moderated by France and a weakened Britain, as Europe's agenda. With the combined economies of the EU behind it, Germany's voice demands attention in Washington, Moscow, and Beijing. Germany has also moved beyond post-World-War-II passivity, with its military engaging in a two-week offensive in northern Afghanistan this spring, using heavy weapons and armored vehicles against the Taliban. With 4,300 troops, Germany ranks as the third-largest contingent in Afghanistan, behind the U.S. and Britain, and may send up to 2,000 more during the U.S. military's Afghan surge. German confidence is growing, evident in the celebration of the Federal Republic's 60th anniversary on May 23, 2009, with widespread flag-waving, once considered too nationalistic. A University of Stuttgart study reported that 75 percent of respondents felt proud to be German, double the number from 2001, as older generations' guilt fades and patriotism rises. Germany is awakening, thinking independently with its own policy, energy, and security preferences. It shows signs of developing autonomy in foreign policy and energy matters, likely soon extending to security, marking a return to a more assertive historical identity.
Germany Ascendant
'Prophecy Watch' by Richard T. RitenbaughGermany, believed by some Bible students to descend from ancient Assyria, has long been anticipated to regain power. In the last century, under Kaiser Wilhelm II and Adolf Hitler, Germany rose to prominence in Europe, sparking world wars and facing significant defeats. After World War I, Germany swiftly returned to dominance, with less than 20 years between the 1918 Armistice and the 1938 Anschluss with Austria. Post-World War II recovery was economically rapid but politically and militarily delayed, hindered by the Cold War division between the United States and the Soviet Union, which left Germany split for over 40 years. While West Germany prospered, East Germany struggled under Soviet control. Following the fall of the Berlin Wall and the Soviet Union's collapse, Germany reunited, working to elevate the former East to West German standards, a process now largely complete. The government transitioned smoothly from Bonn to Berlin, and residual disparities are minimal, allowing Germany to advance unhindered. Since unification, Germany has emerged as a formidable presence in Europe and globally, not merely as a leading European Union nation but as a sovereign power with the largest population and strongest economy in Europe. It leads in financial markets, champions the euro, and drives economic integration, with Frankfurt's influence resonating worldwide. Questions arise about whether Germany can now exert more than economic power and if its leaders will shape global events. Recent developments suggest an affirmative response, though the frequency and extent of Germany's use of this newfound strength remain uncertain. Germany's historical relationship with Russia, marked by both conflict and attraction, includes numerous pacts and treaties, such as Hitler's 1939 Non-aggression Pact with Stalin, which significantly impacted world affairs. Currently, Germany is negotiating an economic deal with Russia that could have political implications, potentially shifting Europe's power balance toward Germany. On December 12, 2000, German and Russian economic ministers met in Berlin to discuss converting a substantial portion of Russia's $14 billion debt to Germany into equity in Russian companies, positioning Germany as a major shareholder in Russian industry. If finalized, this pact could initiate a closer political partnership, aiding Russia's economic and political revival while enhancing Germany's leadership in a united Europe, diminishing American influence, and strengthening both nations geopolitically. This growing cooperation between Moscow and Berlin aims to bolster each country's potential and political advancement.
Germany Flexes Its Muscles
'Prophecy Watch' by Earl L. HennGermany is making itself unloved around Europe again with its assertive stance on European unification. Chancellor Helmut Kohl is boldly advocating for the swift admission of former communist Eastern European nations like Poland, Hungary, and the Czech Republic into the European Union (EU), pushing this agenda at the March inter-governmental conference on European integration. At a recent EU leaders' meeting in Madrid, Germany led the way in suggesting these countries be singled out for quick admission, likely due to their modernized economies and potential as markets where German business could dominate, as well as forming a security buffer against Russia. A significant change in German policy reflects a shift in attitude toward political involvement in foreign affairs. Since World War II, pacifist instincts and guilt over past conflicts have restrained Germany from aggressive foreign policy, but this has now changed. A December vote in the Bundestag to send 4,000 troops to the Balkans for peacekeeping in Croatia was widely supported across political lines, marking a striking reversal of traditional postwar attitudes. Economically, Germany has also become more aggressive, with Finance Minister Theo Waigel lecturing other EU countries on their obligations to join a currency union by 2002, threatening financial penalties and expulsion for non-compliance. German tactics in pushing for political and economic integration are increasingly foreboding to neighbors, with leaders like Wolfgang Schauble and Chancellor Kohl warning that without unification, Europe risks further conflict. Such tough talk from a nation historically responsible for major European wars causes deep concern among other nations. Germany's renewed assertiveness demonstrates its political and economic muscle, positioning it as the driving force behind uniting Europe. Even in relations with the United States, Germany shows inflexibility, refusing to comply with U.S. demands to remodel a nuclear research reactor in Bavaria to use low-enriched uranium, aligning itself with nations like China and Libya in defying American policy.
Germany's Dilemma
'WorldWatch' by David C. GrabbeGermany is an industrial powerhouse, the richest economy in Europe, but it must prop up several poor-performing economies throughout the rest of the EU.
A Battle Group for Eastern Europe
'WorldWatch' by Richard T. RitenbaughA little-known town in Eastern Europe has given its name to a newly formed battle group consisting of Poland, Hungary, the Czech Republic, and Slovakia.
Franco-German Divergence
'WorldWatch' by David C. GrabbeWorld news, events, and trends highlighting biblical prophecy for March-April 2005: Franco-German Divergence.
The Dream of a United States of Europe
'WorldWatch' by David C. GrabbeBirth rates, defense expenditures, welfare spending vs. wealth creation — everything we use to gauge the health of empires suggests that Europe's fire has gone out.
The Hidden Agenda Behind the ICC (Part One)
CGG Weekly by Charles WhitakerThe International Criminal Court is not a globally-approved institution, with only the 'unilateralist' United States standing outside.
NATO: In Search of a Mission
'WorldWatch' by David C. GrabbeHaving failed to keep the Russians out and the Germans down, NATO is struggling to remain relevant in a changing world.
A Growing Divide
'Prophecy Watch' by Richard T. RitenbaughAmerica and Europe have been moving away from each other politically, economically, and culturally. How does this affect our understanding of prophecy?
The Beast and Babylon (Part One)
'Personal' from John W. RitenbaughEurope is not uniting as we once thought it would. How does this affect our interpretation of the prophecies?
The Lisbon Treaty and the Future of Europe
'WorldWatch' by David C. GrabbeWhat are the ramifications of an EU with the power and authority to act as a cohesive whole? Will the members choose to act in a united fashion?
Down But Not Out!
'Prophecy Watch' by Richard T. RitenbaughRussia seems like a nation—an empire—in deep decline. But is it? We would be wise to keep an eye on the Russian bear!
Yet Another Call for a European Army
Commentary by Richard T. RitenbaughIf our speculations about a military might emerging from the European Union (assuming the Beast rises out of Europe) are correct, it won't be anytime soon.
Is Europe Dying?
'WorldWatch' by David C. GrabbeAnalysts have been ready to file the EU's obituary, as Europe's demographics, Constitution, and economy have languished. Can the Beast arise from Europe?
The State of the Union
'WorldWatch' by David C. GrabbeIt only takes one nation to reject a European Union treaty, even one as significant as the Lisbon Treaty. How likely is a federal Europe now?
The Beast and Babylon (Part Two)
'Personal' from John W. RitenbaughCurrently, Europe is not looking very Beastly. Babylon is the world's anti-God system, and Roman institutions inspire Israelite culture even today.
A Perfect Storm of National Cycles
'WorldWatch' by David C. GrabbeThe societal and generational cycles of America, Europe, and Russia are converging, and the result will prove to be devastating.
Knowing Good and Evil
Commentary by Mark SchindlerThe bombing of Hiroshima highlights the sobering consequences of eating from the Tree of the Knowledge of Good and Evil. Human solutions always fall short.
The European Financial Crisis
'WorldWatch' by David C. GrabbeThe nations of Europe are currently in no position to take advantage of the global financial crisis and become a world superpower.
A Beast on the Horizon
Sermonette by Clyde FinkleaKarl Theodore zu Guttenberg seems to be preparing to be a Fuhrer of Europe with just as much alacrity as some formerly attributed to Franz Josef Strauss.
Blood and Soil: The Persistence of Anti-Semitism
'Prophecy Watch' by Charles WhitakerWhy has anti-Semitism remained a part of this world's way of thinking? Recent history shows that anti-Semitism has morphed into new expressions of an old evil.
The Beast and Babylon (Part Three): Who Is the Woman?
'Personal' from John W. RitenbaughIs the Woman depicted in Revelation 12 the church, as the church has dogmatically taught? Or is she another prophetic entity that is active today?
Immigration and the Kingdom of God
'Prophecy Watch' by David C. GrabbeUnlike Europe and the United States, God ensures that all His potential citizens will conform to His culture.
Prophecy and the Sixth-Century Axial Period
'Personal' from John W. RitenbaughProphecy has many purposes, but it is never intended to open the future to mere curiosity. Its higher purpose is to give guidance to the heirs of salvation.
Prophets and Prophecy (Part Three)
Sermon by John W. RitenbaughJohn the Baptist fulfilled the prophecy of the 'Elijah to come.' We must apply duality of prophecy carefully and cautiously rather than indiscriminately.